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Tuesday, October 13, 2020

CoViD-19 Dr. Ghaly Weekly Briefing: San Diego Stays Red | How To Do Lower Risk Halloween | Sean Penn Does Good (Again) | Jeff Tweedy Brings Hope

One year ago, Bastille played with Joywave at SDSU CCCU OAT (Taken 10.13.2019)

I'm not taking notes on the Supreme Court confirmation hearing because it is so brutal, but there are certainly interesting pieces to watch here and there. Senator Lee of Utah is a worthless piece of shit, and also, people ARE LITERALLY dying in the streets but he wants to go on some rant about being pro-life. What a joke. I decided to stop the hearings and watch the County Board of Supervisors meeting which was pretty low-key, just some reallocation of CARES funds that weren't needed in their prior allocations, i.e. money from the Great Plates program wasn't needed because it ended up being funded by either the State or the Federal government separately. There's always some fun digs between Fletch and Gaspar which I live for, and also lunatic callers from the public, like the guy who thinks there's no science to prove the existence of COVID-19, but if there is, there's no way to test for it, and if there is, the test being used isn't the correct one, but then again, it doesn't exist in the first place. 
Dr. Ghary did his usual briefing, too, and we're staying firmly in the red tier for now, with a 7.2 unadjusted and 6.8 adjusted case per 100k. Just note that this is worse than last week. so we're just riding that edge. 
We're pretty sure Nova's fever was a reaction to the bee sting, so after Benadryl and Advil she was fine and today everyone is healthy and happy. We're playing it safe and took Vons up on a free delivery + $20 off our first time and will stay home a couple days at least just to monitor, which is fine anyway as the plumbers continue to work on our bathroom, though today they didn't even show up until almost noon to take the tub to the dump and then barely dropped off the new tub and walls for install, so we'll see if he can really get it all done by tomorrow. I'm gonna call it a day because I woke up at 4am. Catch ya tomorrow. 
(Update: I forgot to update today's county stats. They're all there now. 52 Community Outbreaks in 7 days!! Way to go, San Diego! Let's reopen everything!!) 

  • Secretary Dr. Ghaly Weekly State Health Briefing:
    •  Safe Halloween/Dia De Los Muertos
    • Media Questions:
      • Theme Park guidance is not ready. State will provide when they're ready. Sending research to other parks in other states, assessing data and policies. 
      • Vaccines take time. Californians need to follow the guidances available, i.e. "the tools we have": masks, distancing, hygiene, not-mixing
      • Why is California relatively stable compared to other states? Many factors: slow & stringent approach, compliance in mask wearing, peer pressure for mask wearing, avoiding busy times in public spaces, adapting in behaviors
      • Counties that are moving forward tend to be smaller. Behavior changes are the only way to stabilize and reduce cases in counties. 
      • Deaths are the most lagging indicator. Numbers are often delayed. Lower numbers now is usually low on Mon/Tues because of weekend lags. 
      • Guidance acknowledges that people are going to gather and recommendations for risk reduction, but "Guidance Isn't Go."
      • Not all counties request review when they move back or do not move forward. State is available to engage with counties for adjudication. 
  • California COVID-19 Stats:
    • 2,378 New Cases/852,406 Total Cases (0.3% increase)
    • 9 New Deaths/16,581 Total Deaths (0.1% increase)
    • 2.6% 14-day test positivity rate
  • San Diego County Stats
    • State Data:
      • 195 New Cases/50,748 Total Cases
      • 0 Deaths/826 Total Deaths
      • 7.2 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13. Unadjusted Case Rate Using Linear Adjustment)
      • 3% Test Positivity (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13)
      • 5.7% Health Equity Metric (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13)
    • County Data:
      • COVID-19 Update to Board Highlights Health Equity Strategy - County News Center (10.13.2020)
      • 278 New Cases/51,024 Total Cases 
      • 14 New Daily Deaths/840 Total Deaths
      • 3% Daily Test Positivity/3.3% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/2.9% Test Positivity (14-day average)
      • 6.8 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13. County is reporting unadjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons)
      • Case Investigation is 97%
      • 6 New/52 Community Outbreaks (7-day)
  • Universities:
    • SDSU COVID-19:
      • Please note: Of the 13 confirmed cases added to the total case count on Oct. 11, 6 are new cases. The remaining 7 cases were previously reported to the San Diego County Health and Human Services Agency (HHSA), but only recently identified, through continued cross-referencing between San Diego State University and HHSA, as having an SDSU-affiliation. 
      • 412 on-campus | 775 non-residential (12 faculty, 13 visitors) | 1,187 Total
    • Check other stats: UCSD COVID-19, USD COVID-19, CSU San Marcos, PLNU
  • COVID-19:
  • Other Reading:
    • How Sean Penn Went to War Against COVID - GQ (10.11.2020)
    • We Can Still Fix It. Just Ask Wilco’s Jeff Tweedy. With a new book and new solo record, indie rock's wise elder talks politics, Wilco's future, and where we go when we die. - Esquire (10.7.2020)
      I can tell you some of the things I have tried to not allow myself to feel too much anger. I have an impulse to be angry and hateful toward the people responsible for putting us in this mess. Politicians, that is—the enablers of some of this disaster. I don't know if I will have it in my heart to ever forgive them. But the typical Trump voter—white, disaffected, insulated, very much like the people I grew up with—I get very angry with those people, too, to the point where I don't know if I have it in myself to look at them as worthy of redemption. I don't like to feel that.
      In almost every case it's like the impulse to become rigid and demand purity. The problem is that that does not leave open a path to redemption. And everybody should have a path to redemption. The sad fact is that a lot of people are enabling and supporting something monstrous, but they're not at all monsters. They're not. It's hard to understand, but a lot of them are not paying attention at all. A lot of them are oblivious. It's like they have a natural inclination to tune out anything political because they're convinced that it's all a charade. 
    • Heat Advisory Issued Today 10/13/2020, 11:00 am through Friday 10/16/2020 at 5:00 pm - County of San Diego Emergency Update (10.13.2020)
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