san diego: dialed in: CoViD-19 San Diego Cases Rising | California Vaccine Plan: Don't Expect Until 2021 | Martinis Above Fourth Permanently Closed

Monday, October 19, 2020

CoViD-19 San Diego Cases Rising | California Vaccine Plan: Don't Expect Until 2021 | Martinis Above Fourth Permanently Closed | RIPink Livestreams

Baby tapir for Rainforest Day (Taken at San Diego Zoo 2.14.2020)

I'm trying to get back to pre-pandemic mode where Mondays are my 'day off' so today I challenged the notion that you can't catch up on sleep, and I kinda think I won. I was zoned out in my room all day, skipping emails and doomscrolling, until Darren revealed Nova was having some sort of breakdown.
Apparently he was encouraging (forcing?) her to get out of the house and out of her room (which I swear smells like a high school boy's room at times) and go skate or bike or something. He told her she should skateboard around the block, but instead, she decided to try to do tricks-- which she doesn't know how to do--in the driveway, which is neither smooth nor flat nor appropriate for any kind of skateboarding, so of course she fell on her elbow and instead of sympathy, was met more with 'what were you thinking?' so it was full on meltdown city all afternoon. Eventually she calmed down and we decided to take her to derby because obviously she needed to be around anyone her own age and away from us. I'm not really prepared to be roommates with a mopey teenager, so hopefully this wasn't a sign of what's to come, especially if we're not resuming school or normal life until 2021 or beyond.

Today's media briefing with the Governor was 'sobering,' to use his word, as he discussed vaccine distribution, wildfires, and the politicization of COVID-19. On Tuesday we'll find out if San Diego has slipped back to purple, even when adjusted, but there wouldn't be any changes until a second consecutive week, so at least for now, we shall remain where we are.

California Governor Newsom Media Briefing:

Vaccines:

state is doing advance planning for vaccine distributions with CDC & DOD
State has experience in mass vaccinations: Flu (19million), H1N1, HepA, childhood vaccinations
State has a vaccine steering committee, adding a logistics taskforce
Launching the Scientific Safety Review Workgroup with 11 experts who will independently review FDA-approved vaccines & trials

Expertise in biostatistics, epidemiology, pediatric infectious diseases, health equity, healthcare financing

Guiding principles: Safety, Equity, Transparency
Awarded $28.8million by Federal government
First phases of vaccine will be limited supply. Two companies Moderna and Pfizer
Prioritized : Health Care Workers & First Responders
High-Risk: 65+, essential workers, disabilities, racial ethnic minority groups, rural populations, incarcerated/detained
State is preparing for logistical challenges with supplies & distribution

Needles, syringes, Alcohol pads, bandages, Masks, PPE
Storage requirements: Ultra-cold storage (-70 degrees Celsius) & Cold storage (-20 degrees Celsius)
High-end estimate for Vax A & Vax B combined is 45 million for the whole country through the end of the calendar year
Mass availability isn't expected until 2021 throughout the year
Data management: CAIR: California Immunization Registry
Community Education & Engagement

Vaccines won't end COVID-19 overnight, but they're a key tool to manage pandemic

Must be vigilant with COVID-10: prevention, containment, treatment
State is accelerating testing efforts to double (more announcement next Monday)
Sports, Theme Parks other guidance will be updated on Tuesday
Wildfires:

4.1 Million Acres burned
12 major fires/complexes
7,400+ firefighters
Anticipate higher winds in Northern California this week. Next 8 days will be critical.
31 known fatalities
9,282 known structures destroyed (damaged structures are much higher)

Media Questions:

Vaccines have been politicized. California will be vigilant about vaccine safety regardless of next president.
Dr. Ghaly - we have seen some stabilization of hospitalizations/ICUs over past couple days. Projections forecast 30 days out, but if state can get more tools into circulation with interventions and things like isolation rooms should help see numbers stabilize or get back to decrease.
Projection models are all open-source APIs.
State doesn't have plan for quarantine for visitors from other states/countries. California hasn't passed 8% positivity over 14-day periods throughout pandemic, but could consider if things keep getting worse.
Governor supports Sec of State & Attorney General and defends his harsh words on the ballot harvesting boxes put out by GOP
Vaccine plans works under assumptions that may not come to fruition
People should be realistic and not expect vaccines rolling out in this calendar year. Reject the notion of herd immunity.

California COVID-19 Stats:

3,474 New Cases/870,791 Total Cases (0.4% increase) (2,966 7-day average)
27 New Deaths/16,970 Total Deaths (0.2% increase)
2.5% 14-day test positivity rate/2.4% 7-day positivity
4% decrease in COVID-19 hospitalization over 14-days/0.7% increase over 7-days
3% decrease in COVID-19 ICU over 14-days/5.4% Increase over 7-days

San Diego County Stats

State Data:

373 New Cases/52,359 Total Cases
0 Deaths/853 Total Deaths
7.2 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13. Unadjusted Case Rate Using Linear Adjustment)
3.5% Test Positivity (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13)
5.7% Health Equity Positivity (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13)

County Data:

San Diego County COVID-19 Update – 10-19-2020 - County News Center
380 New Cases/53,735 Total Cases
0 New Daily Deaths/853 Total Deaths
4% Daily Test Positivity/3.2% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/2.7% Test Positivity (14-day average)
6.8 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 10/3, Assessed on 10/13. County is reporting unadjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons)
Case Investigation is 96%
0 New/31 Community Outbreaks (7-day)