Tuesday, October 06, 2020

CoVID-19 California Introduces Equity Metric | San Diego Stays In Red Tier But Hits Hospitalization Trigger | FDA Releases Vaccine Guidance |

Nova & Fi at Grandma & Grandpa's House (Taken 10.4.2020)

Today was another low-key day. I was up too late watching shows, then read into the wee hours of the morning. We're currently watching Lodge 49 on Hulu, and then once Darren goes to sleep, I've been watching Ratchet (in small doses), Valeria (also in small doses), and whatever random movies I happen to find. 
Today I watched Dr. Ghaly's press conference and they attempted to explain the "equity metric" but it wasn't super clear how it affects county numbers. We also watched a press conference with New York Governor Cuomo, and after watching Governor Newsom for so many briefings, it was interesting to watch Cuomo, because he is clearly done messing around with openings and closings. His big message is that you could close businesses, particularly 'non-essential' businesses back down, but the reality is that the "clusters" or community outbreaks are happening because of gatherings: houses of worship (who weren't supposed to be having services in the first place, then were supposed to have attendance limits) and unauthorized parties, citing weddings, concerts, and even pointing to the Rose Garden ceremony as superspreader events. So they're doing a bigtime crackdown with worship services limited to 10 people, restaurant caps cut to 25%, max 4 people per group, and a bunch of other restrictions. I appreciate Newsom, but I kinda like that NY attitude demanding enforcement of the health orders. 

"We know where the cases are and we know what we have to do. Government has to do it's job. But individuals have to do their job also. And organizations have to do their jobs also. We're all citizens. It's not government's job to catch you, it's the citizen's obligation to do the right thing." - New York Governor Cuomo

Today's news and articles after the jump. 

  • Secretary Dr. Mark Ghaly Press Briefing:
    • Low cases today, but yesterday was over 4k. The more cases affect our counties' ability 
    • Lags between cases and hospitalizations can be 20-30 days 
    • State has been trying to address Skilled Nursing Facilities
      • State High: 4/29 463 new cases in 1-day | 91 deaths in 1-day
      • State Low: 10/2 52 new cases in 1-day | <11 new SNF 1-day deaths
      • Targeted COVID-19 Testing and Cohorting
      • Mitigation plans included:
        • Suveyors at facilities every 6 weeks
        • Contingency for PPE and staffing
        • Communicating with families
        • Staff training
        • Infection control oversight
        • Universal Baseline testing in SNFS approx 229k tests 
    • New Equity Metric:
      • Incentivizes counties to reduce infections across every neighborhood
        • Counties with low disparities move quicker through color tiers
        • Counties with large disparities move slower through color tiers
        • Testing in disadvantaged areas must match testing in less-disadvantaged areas
        • Try and navigate the disparity data here
      • Wear your mask properly!! Must cover your nose and your mouth!!! 
      • R (effective) can quickly be exponential and increase spread and cause new spikes
    • Media Questions:
      • No promise on when theme park guidelines will come out. It isn't just about the theme parks themselves, but the surrounding communities, the workforce required, the tourism that will be attracted, but safety is ultimate goal. 
      • Counties are independent to make decisions about transparency and revealing where outbreaks occur, but hopes that this will increase was we move forward in California 
      • Counties that have moved from purple to red can plan to reopen schools. Must be in red tier for at least two weeks for schools to open. 
      • There is no plan beyond yellow tier at this time. This is the roadmap for the foreseeable future. 
      • Individuals who are less likely to have a bad outcome are still mixing with vulnerable people, hope is we remain guided by science and data
      • Vaccine distribution will happen when they're ready
  • California COVID-19 Stats:
    • 1,677 New Cases/828,461 Total Cases (0.2% increase)- 3,005 7-Day Averages
    • 28 New Deaths/16,177 Total Deaths (0.2% increase)
    • 2.6% 7-day positivity rate/2.7% 14-day test positivity rate
  • San Diego County Stats
    • State Data:
      • 224 New Cases/48,662 Total Cases
      • 0 Deaths/803 Total Deaths
      • 7.0 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 9/26, Assessed on 10/6. Unadjusted Case Rate Using Linear Adjustment)
      • 3.5% Test Positivity (Based on week ending 9/26, Assessed on 10/6)
    • County Data:
      • San Diego County COVID-19 Update – 10-6-2020 - County News Center (10.6.2020)
      • 161 New Cases/48,821 Total Cases 
      • 3 New Daily Deaths/806 Total Deaths
      • 2% Daily Test Positivity/3.2% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/2.9% Test Positivity (14-day average)
      • 6.5 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 9/26, Assessed on 10/6. County is reporting unadjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons)
      • Case Investigation is 97%
      • 0 New/20 Community Outbreaks (7-day)
  • Universities:
    • SDSU COVID-19:
      • 407 on-campus | 729 non-residential (13 visitors) | Total 1,136
      • Please note: Of the 2 confirmed cases added to the total case count today, Oct. 6, 0 are new cases. The 2 cases were previously reported to the San Diego County Health and Human Services Agency (HHSA), but only recently identified, through continued cross-referencing between San Diego State University and HHSA, as having an SDSU-affiliation. 
    • Check other stats: UCSD COVID-19USD COVID-19CSU San MarcosPLNU
  • COVID-19:
  • Other News/What I'm Reading

No comments: