Sunday, January 24, 2021

CoViD-19: Sleepy Sunday | Rostam Adds Music To "The Hill We Climb" | Variants of Concern May Be More Deadly, 'Compromise Immunity' | Newsom Expected To Lift Stay-Home Order |

A Photo of our rescue, Ficus, for Change a Pet's Life Day (Taken 12.6.2020)

Remember how that asshole who caused an insurrection in the Capitol used to call President Joe Biden "Sleepy Joe"? Maybe he was actually right about this one thing. There's news, of course, but the news cycle is so much more manageable. On average, I receive about 500 emails a day between my two inboxes, and a significant daily portion were political actions: sign this petition, demand that Congress do XYZ, ask your reps to roll back whatever. I'm still getting them, but they're just not quite so dismal or ragey and it feels so good. 

One thing I was thinking about last night as Darren and I were having drinks in the speakeasy was about the vaccination rollout. (I know, I'm so fun to hang out with.) I was thinking how I am so happy for my friends who have been able to get vaccinated or been able to get their parents vaccinated. But for those who haven't, I think everyone needs to slow their roll. The County just announced 65+ yesterday. They still have 75+ and health care workers to vaccinate. There are SO MANY. People aren't necessarily going to get an appointment right away with no complications. The last administration had NO PLAN except to reward "red states" and punish "blue states". There is going to be some time before the kinks work out. This is an undertaking that has never been done before. Factories are coming online to make enough syringes and vials and PPE available. People are being trained to provide support and vaccinate which might otherwise be outside their normal job descriptions. This isn't a switch turned on overnight, as much as we wish it so. And we all still need to mask up and socially distance and keep out of indoor settings for a long time. Wuhan locked down with tracing, testing, facial recognition, and apps. Here we still have plenty of assholes dining out against health orders. Everyone needs to continue to do their part, wait their turn, be an advocate for their own health and register for an appointment, and get a vaccination when they can. 

Update: The news is reporting that the California Restaurant Association sent an email to member businesses that the Governor is expected to lift the stay-at-home order based on the ICU forecasts. It probably also has to do with his incentivization of reopening schools in February. But note that his blueprint requires cases to be below 28 per 100,000. San Diego firmly remains in the purple most-restrictive tier, so if the order is lifted, it will still mean only outdoor operations. We're still seeing incredibly high numbers in the region and I wouldn't recommend eating or drinking in public, though I'll probably go straight to the San Diego Zoo or Safari Park the day it reopens. 

Anyway, I know I'm a barrel of fun times. Be safe out there. 

  • COVID-19:
  • Politics:
  • Other Reading: 
    • The Supreme Court and Pandemic Controls: In Roman Catholic Diocese of Brooklyn v. Cuomo, the Supreme Court temporarily enjoined New York’s limits on in-person religious worship. The decision could have important implications for public health law during the Covid-19 pandemic and into the future. - NEJM (1.21.2021)
  • Global COVID-19 Stats (JHU 1/24/2021 9:22pm):
    • 99,192,353 Known Cases
    • 2,129,403 Known Deaths
  • US COVID-19 Stats 
    • (JHU)
      • 25,124,948 Cases
      • 419,208 Deaths
    • (COVID Tracking Project):
      • 142,949 New Cases/24,800,354 Known Cases (5%+ Change over 7 Days)
      • 1,940 New Deaths/410,212 Known Deaths
      • 110,628 Current COVID-19 Hospitalizations
      • 21,168 Currently COVID-19 patients in ICU
      • 6,989 COVID-19 patients currently on ventilator
  • California COVID-19 Stats:
    • State of California Safe Schools For All Hub
    • Vaccination progress dashboard
    • Aggregate California ICU Bed Availability: 4.5%
    • Statewide Estimated R-effective: 0.87
    • 24,111 New Cases/3,109,151 Total Cases (0.8% increase)
    • 429 New Deaths/36,790 Total Deaths (1.2% increase)
    • 9.8% 14-day test positivity rate
    • 18,638 COVID-19 Hospitalizations (-655 patients, -3.5% from prior day)
    • 4,542 COVID-19 ICU hospitalized in CA (-99 patients, -2.2% from prior day)
    • 1,116 ICU beds available (-8 from prior day)
  • San Diego County 
    • Free Testing Sites and Schedule in San Diego
    • VaccinationSuperstationSD
    • Vaccination Dashboard
    • State Data:
      • Southern California ICU Bed Availability: 0%
      • Regional Estimated R-effective: 0.84
      • County Estimated R-effective: 0.87
      • 4 week ICU capacity projection: below threshold as of 1/21/2021
      • 2,980 New Cases/225,556 Total Cases
      • 43 Deaths/2,344 Total Deaths
      • 97.4 cases/100k population (Assessed on 1/19. Unadjusted Case Rate)
      • 14.8% Test Positivity (Assessed on 1/19)
      • 19.8% Health Equity Positivity (Assessed on 1/19)
      • 1,522 COVID-19 hospitalized patients (-42 patients, -2.7% from prior day)
      • 433 COVID-19 ICU hospitalized patients (+3 patients, +0.7% from prior day)
      • 149 ICU beds available (+2 from prior day)
    • County Data:
      • 1,637 New Cases/227,195 Total Cases 
      • 31 New Daily Deaths/2,375 Total Deaths
      • 6% Daily Test Positivity/12.6% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/10.3% Test Positivity (14-day average)
      • 60.6 cases/100k population (Assessed on 1/12. Adjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons.) 
      • 68% Case Investigation (under 70% goal)
      • -7.6% Day Over Day COVID-19 Hospitalizations (1,477 patients. +3% increase over 30 days)
      • 11% ICU Capacity (419 patients. 15% increase over 30 days)
      • 48 Staffed ICU Beds Available
      • 11 New/45 Community Outbreaks (7-day)

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