I watched the Oscars tonight and then watched as people raged on Twitter about who should've won, the attendees being maskless. I don't know the specific procedures, but Jon Batiste said that he had to fly out early and quarantine for over a week to be able to attend in-person. It's fair to assume everyone was vaccinated and tested, too, so maybe we can quell the rage just a tiny bit.
Last night while doom scrolling, I also followed a ton of threads about the US failure to aid India, which to me seems blatantly and patently false. Just like allocating extra vaccine to Michigan wouldn't get them out of their surge, the same seems true for India. People gathered by the tens of thousands for political rallies, dropped all common sense mitigations, and gathered by the millions for religious ceremonies after their leadership, just two months ago, declared their COVID battle won. Yes, people are suffering and yes they deserve compassion and aid, but it needs to come from all corners of the planet, and with a trumpish leader like Modi, this was certain to happen. While California can temporarily celebrate going from worst to first, it might serve us well to remember that seemingly small spread can explode within weeks, and the former mayor of San Diego would have us believe that we should just get back to pre-pandemic normal. It's disgusting, really. Follow this thing through, do your part, and let's really get into a safe place before we call it a W.
Last night I was playing around with math, something I do at night when I can't sleep. San Diego's population of 16+ residents is 2,689,348, of whom 904,478 are fully vaccinated. Over the past 3 weeks, we've averaged 232,063 doses administered per week, or 33,152 a day. At this rate, and my math isn't perfect because it's hard to say what the single dose J&J does to the mix, but at the current rate, and taking into account the 1,367,175 who have received a first dose and the 417,695 who have received no doses, all 16+ population could be fully vaccinated within the next 67 days. There was also a lot of talk about why the FDA hasn't approved the 12-15 year olds yet, and I still maintain that they're making sure the eligible adults get another week or two in to get first crack before opening one more age level which may ONLY receive the Pfizer dose if that EUA gets extended. Still, this doesn't account for increases/decreases in supply, but definitely gets us right in the sweet spot of the County's goal of 75% vaccinated in time to drop the tier system on June 15. My math isn't perfect, but that's all super good news, supposing we can fight hesitancy and get our friends and neighbors on board to get the jab. It's on all of us to encourage them to do so. Stay safe out there.
- COVID-19:
- Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Park Use in U.S. Cities (Preprint) - MedXRiv (4.25.21)
Smartphone mobility data can address a data availability gap for monitoring park use. Park use only declined modestly in 2020. Opportunities exist to make access more racially equitable. - Efficacy of universal masking for source control and personal protection from simulated cough and exhaled aerosols in a room (Preprint) - medRxiv (4.25.21)
Our results show that universal masking reduces exposure to respiratory aerosol particles regardless of the orientation and separation distance between the source and recipient. - Politics:
- Arizona election audit: Here's what you're seeing on the video feeds as counting continues Saturday - AZ Central (4.24.21)
- Boris Johnson said he ‘would rather let bodies pile high’ than impose third lockdown, reports claim. Prime minister also under mounting pressure to explain £200,000 Downing Street flat refurbishment - The Independent (4.26.21)
- White House:
- Statement by Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III on Supporting our Indian Partners - (4.25.21)
In the next few days, we will provide transportation and logistics assistance to deliver needed supplies to India, including oxygen-related equipment, rapid testing kits, and personal protective equipment. - Statement by NSC Spokesperson Emily Horne on National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan’s Call with National Security Advisor Ajit Doval of India - (4.25.21)
- The United States has identified sources of specific raw material urgently required for Indian manufacture of the Covishield vaccine that will immediately be made available
- the United States has identified supplies of therapeutics, rapid diagnostic test kits, ventilators, and Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) that will immediately be made available
- to provide oxygen generation and related supplies on an urgent basis
- The U.S. Development Finance Corporation (DFC) is funding a substantial expansion of manufacturing capability for BioE, the vaccine manufacturer in India, enabling BioE to ramp up to produce at least 1 billion doses of COVID-19 vaccines by the end of 2022
- Statement by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on the Fire at Ibn al-Khatib Hospital in Baghdad
We mourn the loss of life in the fire at Ibn al-Khatib hospital in Baghdad. We are in touch with Iraqi officials and have offered assistance. - News:
- MTS Evades Prosecution After Killing Unarmed Man - (What We Learned This Week) - Voice of San Diego (4.25.21)
- Exclusive: Wife Of Asian Man Brutally Beaten In East Harlem: ‘This Should Not Happen To My Husband Or Anyone Else. This Is America’. Police Manhunt Continues For Suspect Caught On Camera Savagely Beating 61-Year-Old Yao Pan Ma - CBS New York (4.25.21)
- Other Reading:
- The 93rd Academy Awards 2021 Full Winners List
- Notable moments: Yuh-Jung Youn acceptance speech, Director of Nomadland director Chloe Zhao, WIll McCormack speech about gun violence, Tyler Perry's Humanitarian Award acceptance speech, and bit about past music winners/losers/nominees with Andra Day.
- Global COVID-19 Stats (JHU 4.25.21 8:20pm):
- 146,830,782 Known Cases
- 3,106,384 Known Deaths
- US COVID-19 Stats
- CDC COVID-19 Vaccination Data Tracker
- JHU
- 32,077,076 Cases
- 572,200 Deaths
- CDC Data Tracker:
- +52,653 New Cases/31,848,068 Known Cases
- +630 New Deaths/568,969 Known Deaths
- 290,692,005 Doses Delivered/228,661,408 Doses Administered
- Moderna 123,421,700 delivered/100,031,926 administered/39,424,106 Fully Vaccinated
- Pfizer 14,629,155 delivered/120,373,717 administered/47,290,617 Fully Vaccinated
- Janssen 17,641,150 delivered/8,079,863 administered/8,014,498 Fully Vaccinated
- California COVID-19 Stats:
- State of California Safe Schools For All Hub
- Vaccination progress dashboard
- Aggregate California ICU Bed Availability: 32.8%
- R-effective: 0.94
- 35,058,910 Doses Delivered/28,200,566 Doses Administered
- 6,460,293 Partially Vaccinated/11,524,805 Fully Vaccinated
- 1,739 New Cases/3,629,624 Total Cases (4.7 new cases/100k)
- 53 New Deaths/60,188 Total Deaths (0.1 new deaths/100k)
- 1.3% 7-day test positivity rate
- 2,052 COVID-19 Hospitalizations (-61 patients, -3% from prior day)
- 441 COVID-19 ICU hospitalized in CA (+13 patients, +2.9% from prior day)
- 2,287 ICU beds available (+91 from prior day)
- San Diego County
- Free Testing Sites and Schedule in San Diego
- VaccinationSuperstationSD
- Vaccination Dashboard
- San Diego County Of Education School Reopening Dashboard
- State Data:
- Southern California ICU Bed Availability: 35.5%
- R-effective: 0.98
- 155 New Cases/275,252 Total Cases
- 4 Deaths/3,688 Total Deaths
- 6.4 cases/100k population (Assessed on 4/20. Unadjusted Case Rate)
- 2.4% Test Positivity (Assessed on 4/20)
- 3.0% Health Equity Positivity (Assessed on 4/20)
- 173 COVID-19 hospitalized patients (-24 patients, -12.2% from prior day)
- 47 COVID-19 ICU hospitalized patients (+1 patients, +2.2% from prior day)
- 237 ICU beds available (-9 from prior day)
- County Data:
- 160 New Cases/275,411 Total Cases
- 4 New Daily Deaths/3,692 Total Deaths
- 2,652,855 Doses Received/2,530,639 Doses Administered
- 1,380,491 Partially Vaccinated/925,453 Fully Vaccinated
- 1% Daily Test Positivity/2.3% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/1.8% Test Positivity (14-day average)
- 6.1 cases/100k population (Assessed on 4/20. Adjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons.)
- 99% Case Investigation
- -1% Day Over Day COVID-19 Hospitalizations (156 patients. -6% over 30 day, +5% over 14 days)
- 32% ICU Capacity (45 patients. -18% over 30 days, -4% over 14 dats)
- 47 Staffed ICU Beds Available
- 7 New/24 Community Outbreaks (7-day)
- Universities:
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