Sunday, April 04, 2021

CoVID-19: P1 Variant Outbreak In Canada Interrupts NHL | California On The Cusp of 4M Doses To Lowest HPI Quartile | Happy 51 Year Anniversary, Mom & Dad! |

Vaccinated and Celebrating 51 Years Together (Taken 4.4.21)

We spent Easter Sunday at my parents' house for their 51st wedding anniversary where my sisters and mom had made a brunch feast of pancakes, eggs, bacon, ham, potato salad, fruit salad, chipotle pasta salad, macaroni salad, deviled eggs, and all kinds of other delights. It was super nice to hang out and watch the Padres game with my dad, as he dozed in and out and I was puppy mauled by Roxy who tried to lick my face off. It was a chill time and so nice because all of the adults amongst us are at least partially vaccinated. None of us are really out in the world, but it is still amazingly unburdening knowing we're all mostly protected. And I know it would be ineffective, but Nova is getting mandatory testing for her school tomorrow, and we'll probably do another test at the end of the week just to be doubly sure. 

California is only 71,387 doses away from hitting the 4 million doses to the HPI first quartile which will adjust the metrics for the tier system, putting counties with three weeks with less than 5.9 cases/100k into the Orange Tier. From Saturday to Sunday, 80,132 doses were administered in this quartile, so counting today will probably put us there unless a significant amount of vaccination centers closed for Easter. Either way, San Diego should be Orange by the time of the next assessment (Tuesday) which I think goes into effect within 24 hours. 

I was trying not to delve too deep into news today, but I noticed a post about the Vancouver Canucks NHL team which led to a deeper dive into the P1 Variant and how widespread it is across Canada and then the science of why hockey rinks are especially dangerous with the aerosolized virus and it kinda got me a little panicked. I feel like the County and State have been pretty good about getting information out through their media briefings, but if I had my shot at a question this week, it would be how many test samples are being sequenced in the county and in the state and what is the rate of growth they're seeing. Santa Clara county is panicking. The R-effective is growing locally and statewide. The holiday is going to throw off numbers so ours are looking really good (1% positivity, 193 new cases,) but as things open up we could certainly see some backsliding. I was getting fine with the idea of Nova going back to school, especially because it's only going to end up being 8 total days in two months, but I'll definitely be watching closely. As vaccinated people, so long as we have an unvaccinated kid in the house, we can maybe relax our shoulders but not our habits and diligence. Stay safe out there. 

  • San Diego County 
    • Free Testing Sites and Schedule in San Diego
    • VaccinationSuperstationSD
    • Vaccination Dashboard
    • San Diego County Of Education School Reopening Dashboard
    • State Data:
      • Southern California ICU Bed Availability: 32.7%
      • R-effective: 0.84
      • 299 New Cases/271,335 Total Cases
      • 3 Deaths/3,571 Total Deaths
      • 4.9 cases/100k population (Assessed on 3/30. Unadjusted Case Rate)
      • 2.1% Test Positivity (Assessed on 3/30)
      • 2.7% Health Equity Positivity (Assessed on 3/30)
      • 208 COVID-19 hospitalized patients (+12 patients, +6.1% from prior day)
      • 54 COVID-19 ICU hospitalized patients (-3 patients, -5.3% from prior day)
      • 275 ICU beds available (+10 from prior day)
    • County Data:
      • 193 New Cases/271,527 Total Cases 
      • 12 New Daily Deaths/3,583 Total Deaths
      • 1,887,395 Doses Received/1,827,002 Doses Administered
      • 1% Daily Test Positivity/2.3% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/2.2% Test Positivity (14-day average)
      • 4.9 cases/100k population (Assessed on 3/30. Adjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons.) 
      • 99% Case Investigation 
      • 2.8% Day Over Day COVID-19 Hospitalizations (173 patients. -49% over 30 days)
      • 39% ICU Capacity (52 patients. -54% over 30 days)
      • 53 Staffed ICU Beds Available
      • 4 New/13 Community Outbreaks (7-day)
    • Universities:

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