CoViD-19 Numbers Continue To Rise | Defiant Americans Traveling | Why Aren't We Learning From Asia? | How Many More Will Die?

A Bayfront Shot from Wonderfront 2019 (Taken 11.22.2019)

The other day I estimated conservatively that we'll have 325-350,000 known COVID deaths by Inauguration Day. Turns out The Atlantic wrote an article on this very subject two days later and got an expert to weigh in. I've also been reading a lot about our food supply. As we saw in the spring, not only are paper goods disappearing from the shelves, but the safety of our food supply has been questionable for month, and it's now really starting to get some attention with Tyson bosses betting on factory worker deaths, African swine fever spreading worldwide and surviving in feed, and while not affecting our food, the spread of an equine flu is concerning, too. I'm not ready to go vegan, but I certainly look harder at the sources of my food when I'm buying or eating animal protein. All this as the news screams about the shortage of smaller turkeys because of people rearranging or canceling traditional Thanksgiving plans. 

As for me, we've been staying home but at this point are still planning on heading to my mom's on Thursday, probably after a morning run to the Safari Park. We're gonna have to keep it short and outside so of course this is all weather dependent. Our management company has been showing the empty downstairs apartment a lot, so Darren and Nova have been cleaning up the yard and organized about a year of recycling that we'll take in this week. We've been watching "We Are The Champions" on Netflix and Rainn Wilson's narration is reason to watch alone. Nova is obviously out of school this week, so hopefully we can all adjust and give each other enough space while we're all on top of each other. 

 

• California COVID-19 Stats:
• 14,319 New Cases/1,102,033 Total Cases (1.3% increase)
• 33 New Deaths/18,676 Total Deaths (0.2% increase)
• 5.5% 14-day test positivity rate
• San Diego County Stats
• State Data:
• 1,478 New Cases/70,711 Total Cases
• 6 Deaths/966 Total Deaths
• 12.1 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 11/10, Assessed on 11/16. Unadjusted Case Rate Using Linear Adjustment)
• 2.6% Test Positivity (Based on week ending 11/10, Assessed on 11/16)
• 6.5% Health Equity Positivity (Based on week ending 11/10, Assessed on 11/16)
• County Data:
• 939 New Cases/71,648 Total Cases 
• 2 New Daily Deaths/968 Total Deaths
• 5% Daily Test Positivity/6.1% (7-day avg after 7-day lag)/4.9% Test Positivity (14-day average)
• 10.7 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 11/10, Assessed on 11/16. Unadjusted case rate per 100,000 excluding prisons.) 
• Case Investigation is 96%
• 10 New/55 Community Outbreaks (7-day)
• Increasing Hospitalizations 15% (Tigger is at 10%)
• Universities:
• SDSU COVID-19, UCSD COVID-19, USD COVID-19, CSU San Marcos, PLNU
• COVID-19
• How Many Americans Are About to Die? A new analysis shows that the country is on track to pass spring’s grimmest record. - The Atlantic (11.19.2020)
• Millions of Americans set to ignore warnings against Thanksgiving travel - The Guardian (11.22.2020)
• CAL/OSHA Votes to Implement Strict COVID-19 Workplace Protections for California California's Division of Occupational Safety and Health voted Thursday on a new standard which would set a clear rule book for employers to follow when implementing coronavirus protections across the state - NBC San Diego (11.19.2020)
• Don’t Eat Inside a Restaurant. The risk of catching the coronavirus is much higher indoors. - The Atlantic (11.20.2020)
• LA County: Public Health to Modify Health Officer Order to Restrict Dining at Restaurants, Breweries, Wineries and Bars Amid Surge in Cases 5-Day Average of New Cases is 4,097 - LA Public Health (11.22.20)
• Coronavirus: why are Western countries like the US and Britain still not learning from Asia’s success? With locked down Britons only able to watch in envy as South Koreans party in karaoke bars, the benefits of Asian responses to Covid-19 are clear to see. So why hasn’t the West copied the tech-heavy approach? Is it really fears over privacy or differences in culture – or is it just plain arrogance? South China Morning Post (11.21.2020)
• Politics/News/Other Reading:
• Gavin Newsom Slammed For Eating At The French Laundry When Atelier Crenn Clearly Superior Take On Contemporary Cuisine - The Onion (11.19.2020)
• Burro Population Threatened as Deaths Expected to Rise Due to Equine Influenza Outbreak San Bernardino County, Riverside County and state officials are monitoring the outbreak and urging horse owners to consult their veterinarians and get booster vaccines for previously vaccinated animals. NBC San Diego (11.21.2020)
• While everyone is out stocking up on toilet paper, something especially concerning (and has been all year) is the safety of our food supply. While we're in the US just trying to get people to wear a goddamn mask, other countries are looking into frozen foods, packaging, and the animals where our food is sourced. This could escalate really quickly.
• FAO and OIE rally against swine fever a.k.a. “the other virus” - Food Safety News (10.28.2020)
• Why Canada should prepare for a global outbreak of African Swine Fever - iPolitics Canada (11.18.2020)
• Tyson suspends Iowa plant managers amid virus betting claim - AP News (11.19.2020)