Tuesday, November 10, 2020

CoViD-19 San Diego Moves To Purple Tier | Retail, Restaurants, Places of Worship May Be Outdoor Only | Biden's Reaction To Refusal To Concede? "I think it's an embarrassment."

San Diego Zoo Safari Park (Taken 9.25.2020)

We're going to San Diego Zoo Safari Park today, so I'm going to do two separate posts. I'll do another one later when I can watch the County of San Diego media briefing. San Diego has moved to the purple, or most restrictive tier, and while I'm happy to say my math skills are intact, it is frustrating that we are definitely at 10 cases (unadjusted) per 100,000, which matched the state calculation. Our adjustment rate got worse, from 0.855 to 0.885. 

So what does purple mean? All retail moves from 50% capacity to 25%. Shopping centers are also at 25%, but must also close food courts and common areas. All restaurants (and bars serving food,) places of worship, zoos, museums, aquariums, movie theaters, gyms and fitness centers must all move to outdoor only. We will remain in this tier for a minimum of three weeks, which includes Thanksgiving week. 

This is not good news. But it also isn't surprising. As it was, we had already been riding the upper limit of the red tier for weeks, and living across the street from a bar, anecdotally I can say people are not just non-compliant with health orders, but actively defiant. And by the way, the community spread definitions were not suddenly invented by Governor Newsom or California Health. These are historically epidemiological metrics used for infectious diseases year after year. 

As I said, I'll post again later after I get through email and the County briefing, but now we're going to spend time OUTSIDE where masks are REQUIRED AT ALL TIMES and where we hope to not interact with anyone outside our household besides brief moments in passing. 

  • California COVID-19 Media Briefing:
    • California Tiers: What Can Be Open Now That We're Purple? - CDPH Dimmer
      • 5,357 New Cases/977,218 Total Cases (0.6% increase)
      • 24 New Deaths/18,001 Total Deaths (0.1% increase)
      • 3.7% 14-day test positivity rate
    • Media Questions:
      • Several California counties is definitely surging, not necessarily higher than earlier peaks. We are definitely seeing increased cases statewide. No county is moving forward, so that is a concern. We anticipate over half of counties will move into a more restrictive tier.  
      • Constantly looking at tools and framework. Dr. Ghaly and Gov. Newsom believe blueprint is working. 
      • Counties asking for exemptions and exceptions are trying to workaround high case rates. 
      • Youth sports are discouraged from traveling to other places for competition. Guidance isn't ready, must be looked at from not just a safety lens, but an equity lens. 
      • Perkin-Elmer is going through a high number of inconclusive tests but state is working closely to make sure that issues are corrected to make valid tests. One of the validation steps wasn't occurring on inconclusive tests, but believe it has been fixed. People with inconclusive tests should be retested and also be isolating until result is returned. 
      • High school sports, especially higher-risk sports, won't be able to resume until numbers come down within their counties. 
      • COVID-fatigue and COVID-resentment are high, but the economy will continue to suffer until people comply with orders. 
      • 14-day Quarantine after travel to other states, even other counties, is recommended, but state hasn't mandated at this time.
  • San Diego County Stats
    • State Data:
      • 373 New Cases/60,572 Total Cases
      • 0 Deaths/908 Total Deaths
      • 10 cases/100k population (Based on week ending 10/31, Assessed on 11/10. Unadjusted Case Rate Using Linear Adjustment)
      • 2.6% Test Positivity (Based on week ending 10/31, Assessed on 11/10)
      • 6.5% Health Equity Positivity (Based on week ending 10/10, Assessed on 10/27)
  • COVID-19:
  • Other News/Reading/Watching:
    • Barona Resort & Casino Cancels New Year’s Celebrations Due to Pandemic - Times of San Diego (11.9.2020)
    • President-elect Joe Biden spoke about the ACA hearing today. Some quotes:
      • "One president at a time. It would be nice to have that (classified) information, but we don't need it at this time." 
      • "I think it's an embarrassment. How can I say this tactfully? I think it will not help the president's legacy." 
    • Hanson Is Facing a Mutiny From Its Own Fans. More than 20 years after “MMMBop,” the teen idols’ impassioned following is splintering over issues like Black Lives Matter, guns, and COVID. - Vice (11.10.2020)

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